Spring Training is right around the corner and baseball fans everywhere are excited for the thought of the sport returning.
Right now, teams have expectations on how good or bad they will do in 2015 and they only way to settle that is by playing out the season. That doesn’t stop odds makers from trying to make a guess on how every team will do.
Here is an in-depth look at the over/under mark set for each American League team and the smart bet to make when looking at the number.
Baltimore Orioles (84.5) – Under
This might not just be under, this might be way under. The Orioles high powered offense might be lacking in 2015 after they lost Nelson Cruz this off-season and still didn’t bring in much to make up for the loss. Baltimore also lost Nick Markakis in free agency too, which could turn out to be a bigger loss than most people think. The Red Sox and Blue Jays definitely have stronger rosters this season and the Yankees will at least start the season healthy, meaning wins in the American League East might not come easily.
Boston Red Sox (86) – Under
The Red Sox are a far better team on paper year but don’t forget that they were also a World Series contender on paper last year. Dustin Pedroia has hit just .290 over the past three seasons, 20 points below his average over the first five seasons of his career as his power numbers have also dropped. With David Ortiz in a similar down slide, Boston will have two overpaid, under performing holes in the middle of their order if these trends continue. There is no ace at the top of their rotation and after Koji Uehara struggled in the second half of last season, nobody in their bullpen is a sure thing.
New York Yankees (80) – Over
The Yankees have been hit hard by injuries each of the past two seasons and still competed for a wild card spot up to the last few weeks of the season so you need to assume that they’ll still do the same in 2015. They were in the bottom half in both runs scored and runs allowed last season but still managed to win 84 games, a healthy team will do much better statistically. It might be a reach for them to make the postseason in such a strong division but it’s very easy to see them at least fighting for a playoff spot until the very end.
Tampa Bay Rays (77.5) – Under
This one will be close. Tampa Bay finished 2014 with 77 wins so the odds say they are the same team this year but they start without David Price atop the rotation and that is a big reason why the Rays are in danger of falling below their projected win total. They were 27th in runs scored last year and the offense doesn’t look terribly better and they only boast one starting pitcher who was able to win more than ten games last season. They also lost possibly the best manager in baseball.
Toronto Blue Jays (83.5) – Over
This team was an offensive machine last year as they finished with 83 wins and their bats got stronger this off season. Catcher was a huge hole for Toronto in 2014 but the team reeled in veteran Russell Martin after a career year in Pittsburgh to help out. They were also able to add slugging third baseman Josh Donaldson to the middle of the order as well. Pitching is still a big question mark but if the Blue Jays got to 83 wins with this staff last season and a better offense will definitely push them over that mark in the upcoming season.