3) Adam Warren remains a starter all season: With injuries to Ivan Nova and Chris Capuano sidelining them to start the season, Warren earned the fifth spot in the Yankees’ rotation. The popular belief is that Warren will return to the bullpen when one of those two guys return. However, I think to begin the season, Warren will outpitch Nathan Eovaldi and it will be Eovaldi who will be sent to the bullpen. Eovaldi pitches to contact despite his power fastball and has benefitted from low HR/FB numbers. The move to Yankee Stadium will hurt him, and Warren, who has pitched there his entire career, will succeed in his move to the rotation.
4) No Yankee reliever finishes the season with more than 15 saves: A major story this offseason is who will take over the Yankees’ closer role. Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller were both set-up men in 2014 and were competing for the closer job in the spring. Betances is the popular pick and as I previously discussed Betances deserves to get the first shot at the job. Betances has struggled this spring and while that does not mean much his velocity has been down and his breaking ball has not been as sharp. These could be indicators that Betances will struggle to begin the season. If he struggles Miller could take over as the closer. However, I think that Miller could also struggle in the role and neither of the two will have continued success. This will result in both guys with right around ten saves with David Carpenter adding in a few.
5) The Yankees win the AL East: This is more of an indictment on the rest of the division. The Orioles got worse in the offseason losing Nelson Cruz and the Rays are in full rebuild mode. The Blue Jays have a powerful offense but major question marks in the rotation especially after losing Marcus Stroman for the season. The Red Sox rotation is mediocre at best and their offense has a few question marks. The Yankees have a solid rotation with a couple guys with big upside potential in Michael Pineda and Masahiro Tanaka. If they can get solid bounce-back seasons from Carlos Beltran and Brian McCann this team could win 90 games which should be enough to win a potentially weak AL East.