Washington Nationals bold predictions revisited

2. Gio Gonzalez will be traded.


Gio Gonzalez is still a National. That being said, he’s having the worst season of his career with an ERA over 4.00 for the first time since 2009, his first full season in the league. While the ERA is slightly elevated, the advanced metrics suggest Gonzalez has not actually been all that bad. His FIP, 3.20, is the third-lowest of his career. Gonzalez has also allowed just 0.4 HR/9, tying a career-best. He’s just been slightly unlucky, as evidenced by his .350 BABip. Gonzalez is still a bargain at $12 million a year for the next three years (2017 and 2018 are vesting options).

In my opinion, Gonzalez would have been a prime trade candidate for the Nationals, but things did not break right in their rotation. Stephen Strasburg has been injured all year and Doug Fister struggled mightily. Tanner Roark struggled in the bullpen (good call FIP), and is now being transitioned back into a spot starter role. Joe Ross has done well after being called up from Double-A. All of these developments made it nearly impossible to even discuss trading Gonzalez.

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