Padres Points: Kennedy, Roberts, Nevin

Especially for teams that are out of the playoff race for the World Series title, news is few and far between in the month of October. The Padres continue to look for the club’s next manager and little information has came out regarding the club’s plan for the offseason.

However, one player’s name came up this week. According to a report by Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com, the Padres have interest in re-signing Ian Kennedy, who finished strong after a rough first half of the year. As Heyman points out, he has the second highest strikeout rate of any pitcher on this year’s free agent market.

While the team was contemplating offering him a qualifying offer that he’d likely not accept, news of them pursuing him comes as no surprise. The team lacks any pitching depth on the major league or in the upper minor leagues. They’ll likely need an innings eater for the next few seasons. Kennedy fits that mold.

Kennedy should give the team 180-210 innings per season. He’s a solid number four starter on a contending team and that’s something the Padres want to be in 2016. The Padres should look to sign Kennedy to a contract somewhere in the range of a 3-4 years in the range of $40-$55 million total.

Ervin Santana, who signed a four year deal worth $54 million last winter with the Twins is a blueprint the Padres could look to follow. He signed the contract entering his age 32 season, the same thing Kennedy will be doing this offseason. Santana has put up similar numbers in recent seasons to Kennedy and is projected as an innings eating starter in the Twin‘s rotation.

The pitching market this season is richer with talent compared to last season’s, so Kennedy could even be signed at a lesser price than Santana.While early signs point to the Padres viewing Kennedy as the player to fill the void at starting pitcher, perhaps they are looking for a middle tier starter rather than going after a upper tier starting pitcher. This makes sense, given the already tight salary space.

My final prediction if the Padres re-sign Kennedy: four years, $50 million with an option for a fifth season.

Friar Notes

  • Padres bench coach Dave Roberts had two interviews with the Mariners and was a finalist for their managerial position. He’s a possible candidate for the managerial opening for the Dodgers.
  • Friends of Moises Alou don’t see him accepting the Padres’ offer to become manager if he was offered it, writes Jon Heyman.
  • Also from Heyman, Pirates third base coach Rick Sofield is a dark horse candidate for the job and has a chance.
  • Diamondbacks Triple-A manager Phil Nevin is seen as the favorite to land the Padres managerial position, Bob Nightengale said in an interview on the Mighty 1090.

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